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Strategy

What is the innovator's dilemma?

The innovator's dilemma is that well-run companies fail by doing exactly what good management prescribes — listening to their best customers, protecting margins, and investing in proven markets. Those behaviours make disruptive entrants look unattractive right up until they're unbeatable.

The uncomfortable part

The dilemma isn't that incumbents are complacent. It's that they're disciplined. A disruptive product arrives with worse performance, lower margins and a tiny market. Every serious framework a good company uses — customer research, margin analysis, portfolio management — correctly recommends ignoring it.

Then the entrant improves along the dimension the incumbent's customers care about, and the decision that was right at every step turns out to have been fatal in aggregate.

What Kodak and BlackBerry actually show

The popular version of Kodak — the company that missed digital — is wrong. Kodak built one of the first digital cameras and spent heavily on the technology. What it couldn't do was escape a model where film and processing generated the margins, and a retail network organised entirely around that flow. Structure, not foresight, was the trap.

BlackBerry is the cleaner case of customer-listening as a failure mode. Its enterprise customers genuinely preferred the physical keyboard, security and battery life. Listening to them was correct by every conventional measure, and it produced a several-year delay in accepting the touchscreen era, by which point the platform advantage had moved to app ecosystems the company couldn't rebuild.

What it means for a product team

Watch the low end you've chosen to ignore, and be specific about why you're ignoring it. "It's not good enough for our customers" is the exact sentence that precedes every case in the book.

And notice when your reason for not building something is margin structure rather than customer value. Apple's willingness to cannibalise the iPod with the iPhone is the counterexample — the decision was available to everyone and taken by almost no one, because it required accepting a worse P&L on purpose.

Seen in practice

Case studies where this shows up as a real decision, not a definition.

Related questions

What makes an innovation disruptive rather than just new?

Disruptive innovations start worse on the attributes mainstream customers value, but better on something a fringe segment cares about — usually price, simplicity or accessibility. They improve until they satisfy the mainstream, at which point the incumbent's advantages stop mattering.

Was Kodak really disrupted by digital?

Not in the simple way it's told. Kodak invented an early digital camera and invested heavily in digital imaging. It was trapped by a business model built on film margins and a distribution network that digital destroyed — a structural problem, not a blindness problem.

How can an incumbent escape the dilemma?

Usually by giving the disruptive business genuine independence — separate P&L, separate targets, permission to cannibalise. Inside the core business it will always lose resource allocation to higher-margin work, and that allocation logic is the dilemma.

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Last reviewed 2026-09-07